Why Cam Newton’s Patriots have a better chance than Tom Brady’s Buccaneers to win Super Bowl 55

Why Cam Newton's Patriots have a better chance than Tom Brady's Buccaneers to win Super Bowl 55



The Patriots signed Cam Newton to a one-year contract on Sunday — and within the course of put the previous NFL MVP in a dialog with one other franchise for what might be one of many NFL’s greatest storylines in 2020.

Will New England be better off this season with Newton than six-time Super Bowl winner Tom Brady, who left for the Buccaneers this offseason?

It’s a shut name. Odds at VegasInsider.com have each the Patriots and Buccaneers over/below for wins at 9.5 — a signal that the bettors really feel related about each groups.

Who can we belief to win extra video games? We’ll keep on with the Patriots regardless of what is taken into account the toughest schedule on paper within the NFL.

Why would we try this? Let’s take a nearer look:

BENDER: Four reasons why Cam Newton signing improves Patriots’ Super Bowl odds

The divisions

The Patriots have the highest-win whole within the AFC East, which shouldn’t be a shock contemplating New England has gained the division every of the final 11 seasons.

New England owns a 52-15 report in division video games in stretch; an absurd .776 profitable share. The Dolphins (29-37), Bills (26-40) and Jets (26-41) all have beneath .500 data in that body.

Buffalo is picked to win 9 video games this season, and a large chunk of that success is due to Brady.

Brady, nonetheless, steps into a much-tougher division. New Orleans is the favourite to win the division at 10 video games. The Panthers and Falcons have reached the Super Bowl within the final 5 seasons. The Buccaneers completed 7-9 final season and have been 2-Four within the division.

Defense

This has nothing to do with the quarterbacks, however New England led the NFL in scoring protection at 14.1 factors per sport. At one level, the Pats have been trending as one of many biggest defenses of all time.

Bill Belichick stays on the middle of that, and that protection ought to be constant once more in 2020.

Tampa Bay, in the meantime, allowed 28.1 factors per sport. The Buccaneers allowed extra than 30 factors in eight video games final season.

New England ought to have the better unit on the aspect of the ball once more in 2020.

IYER: Breaking down the Patriots’ QB future after Cam Newton signing

Belichick issue

Belichick’s problem might be making it work with Newton, who nonetheless has to show he is wholesome sufficient to win the beginning jo from Jarrett Stidham. Belichick has not labored with a dual-threat quarterback like Newton since arriving in New England, however would you wager towards the coach right here?

Matt Cassel completed 10-5 as a starter with the Patriots in 2008 when Brady suffered a season-ending knee harm. Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett mixed for a 3-1 report because the starter throughout Brady’s four-game suspension to begin the 2016 season.

Newton is more-talented than any of these quarterbacks when wholesome, and he ought to have one thing to show after his somewhat-unceremonious departure from Carolina. The Patriots completed seventh in the NFL in scoring final season whereas Brady had his lowest quarterback score since 2013.

Belichick could make it work with Newton, too.

Which QB adjusts first?

Remember, we’re not speaking about an all-time GOAT debate. We’re speaking about one season.

Brady, who turns 43 in August, has simply as a lot to show with a new coach in Bruce Arians and a new system with offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich. Brady does have a gifted supporting solid led by Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski, who got here out of retirement to play with Brady. The veteran quarterback ought to publish better numbers in that offense. He’ll have to if the Bucs need to contend within the NFC – which

Newton, nonetheless, additionally has extra expertise to work with. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels will have extra choices within the working sport with Newton, and that bodes effectively for Sony Michel and James White. Julian Edelman is a go-to receiver who had 100 receptions final season. If Newton can common shut to 5 yards within the working sport – which he has throughout his greatest seasons – then it can add one more layer to New England’s offense.

MORE: Here are the NFL QBs who will get paid more than Cam Newton in 2020

Precedent

Brady is one among many future Hall of Fame quarterbacks who switched groups, and people tendencies favor him switching groups.

Consider when Joe Montana left San Francisco for Kansas City in 1993. The Chiefs completed 11-5 and made the AFC championship sport, which was one sport better than the 49ers, who completed 10-6 and in addition made the NFC championship sport with Steve Young.

Brett Favre led the Jets to a 9-7 season in 2008, which was three video games better than the Packers, who completed 6-10 in Aaron Rodgers’ first full season as a starter.

Peyton Manning led the Broncos to a 13-Three report in his first season as a starter, which was two video games better than Indianapolis with Andrew Luck.

It is feasible for each groups to have success, which is the seemingly situation for the Patriots and Buccaneers in 2020.

Verdict

Considering all that info, it is nonetheless a toss-up. Brady and Newton ought to give you the chance to lead playoff runs for these respective groups, however that is the place the competitors components in once more.

Newton seemingly will have to cope with the final two MVPS in Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson. Those have been the one groups different than New England that gained extra than 10 video games within the AFC in 2019.

The NFC, in the meantime, had 4 groups win extra than 10 video games, together with defending convention champion San Francisco. The different three groups have future Hall of Famers in New Orleans’ Drew Brees, Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers and Seattle’s Russell Wilson. All three quarterbacks have gained Super Bowls since New England’s run within the division started in 2009.

Knowing that, we’d be extra inclined to belief New England to make a deeper playoff run than the Buccaneers, at the least for this season.

We’ll have to wait till 2021 for Brady to make that return to New England. Unless, in fact, these groups and their quarterbacks need to settle it at Super Bowl LV.

That’s the story all people actually needs.





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